Serie B · Matchweek 17
Südtirol
SDT
Hellas Verona
HEL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Südtirol39%
Draw29%
Hellas Verona32%
Expected goals
1.32 – 1.19
Over 2.5
45%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.9%
- 1–011.1%
- 0–19.8%
- 0–09.4%
- 2–18.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Hellas Verona will have the ball; Südtirol will not mind.
48%Possession63%
35%Territory50%
14%From set plays16%
0.06Chance quality0.15
4.8%Directness4.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Südtirol, 3 for Hellas Verona. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 40 matches, not the full season.