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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Serie B · Matchweek 17

Südtirol

SDT

Hellas Verona

HEL

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Südtirol40%
Draw27%
Hellas Verona32%

Expected goals

1.47 – 1.30

Over 2.5

51%

Both to score

57%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.2%
  • 1–09.6%
  • 2–18.7%
  • 0–18.4%
  • 1–27.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Südtirol will have the ball; Hellas Verona will not mind.

57%Possession47%
29%Territory43%
23%From set plays21%
0.10Chance quality0.09
5.1%Directness5.5%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Südtirol, 4 for Hellas Verona.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 37 of 100 matches, not the full season.