Serie B · Matchweek 17
Sampdoria
SAM
LR Vicenza
LRV
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Sampdoria50%
Draw26%
LR Vicenza24%
Expected goals
1.62 – 1.09
Over 2.5
50%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.8%
- 1–011.3%
- 2–19.6%
- 2–08.4%
- 0–07.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
49%Possession49%
42%Territory42%
27%From set plays25%
0.11Chance quality0.09
4.4%Directness8.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Sampdoria, 3 for LR Vicenza. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 40 matches, not the full season.