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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Serie B · Matchweek 17

Sampdoria

SAM

LR Vicenza

LRV

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Sampdoria46%
Draw28%
LR Vicenza26%

Expected goals

1.49 – 1.07

Over 2.5

46%

Both to score

52%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.4%
  • 1–011.9%
  • 2–19.2%
  • 0–08.8%
  • 0–18.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

LR Vicenza will have the ball; Sampdoria will not mind.

38%Possession48%
36%Territory37%
26%From set plays63%
0.08Chance quality0.10
8.3%Directness6.9%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Sampdoria, 4 for LR Vicenza.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 37 of 100 matches, not the full season.