Serie B · Matchweek 17
Pisa
PIS
Ascoli
ASC
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Pisa39%
Draw26%
Ascoli35%
Expected goals
1.55 – 1.45
Over 2.5
56%
Both to score
61%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.4%
- 2–18.6%
- 1–08.2%
- 1–28.0%
- 0–17.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Ascoli get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
58%Possession66%
40%Territory42%
20%From set plays43%
0.14Chance quality0.13
3.3%Directness3.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Pisa, 4 for Ascoli.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 37 of 100 matches, not the full season.