Serie B · Matchweek 17
Pisa
PIS
Ascoli
ASC
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Pisa39%
Draw26%
Ascoli35%
Expected goals
1.51 – 1.42
Over 2.5
55%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.7%
- 2–18.5%
- 1–08.5%
- 1–28.0%
- 0–17.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Ascoli will have the ball; Pisa will not mind.
44%Possession64%
41%Territory49%
24%From set plays23%
0.11Chance quality0.13
3.4%Directness3.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Pisa, 3 for Ascoli. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 40 matches, not the full season.