Serie B · Matchweek 17
Modena
MOD
Catanzaro
CAT
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Modena66%
Draw20%
Catanzaro14%
Expected goals
2.16 – 0.92
Over 2.5
59%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
-1.25
Most likely scorelines
- 2–010.8%
- 1–010.5%
- 2–19.9%
- 1–19.1%
- 3–07.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Modena will have the ball; Catanzaro will not mind.
59%Possession48%
39%Territory35%
22%From set plays27%
0.10Chance quality0.09
5.7%Directness5.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Modena, 4 for Catanzaro.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 37 of 100 matches, not the full season.