Serie B · Matchweek 17
Juve Stabia
JUV
Padova
PAD
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Juve Stabia51%
Draw27%
Padova23%
Expected goals
1.59 – 1.01
Over 2.5
47%
Both to score
51%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–012.3%
- 1–112.0%
- 2–19.5%
- 2–09.1%
- 0–08.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Juve Stabia will have the ball; Padova will not mind.
58%Possession40%
30%Territory39%
21%From set plays37%
0.07Chance quality0.11
3.7%Directness7.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Juve Stabia, 3 for Padova. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 40 matches, not the full season.