Serie B · Matchweek 17
Juve Stabia
JUV
Padova
PAD
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Juve Stabia54%
Draw26%
Padova19%
Expected goals
1.59 – 0.88
Over 2.5
44%
Both to score
47%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–014.0%
- 1–111.8%
- 2–010.4%
- 2–19.5%
- 0–09.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Juve Stabia will have the ball; Padova will not mind.
51%Possession39%
31%Territory34%
36%From set plays18%
0.08Chance quality0.11
3.0%Directness5.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Juve Stabia, 4 for Padova.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 37 of 100 matches, not the full season.