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Serie B · Matchweek 17

Virtus Entella

VIR

Arezzo

ARE

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Virtus Entella59%
Draw25%
Arezzo16%

Expected goals

1.72 – 0.82

Over 2.5

46%

Both to score

47%

Fair handicap

-0.75

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–014.1%
  • 2–011.4%
  • 1–111.1%
  • 2–19.6%
  • 0–08.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Virtus Entella will have the ball; Arezzo will not mind.

49%Possession40%
36%Territory34%
49%From set plays31%
0.07Chance quality0.12
7.0%Directness7.4%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Virtus Entella, 4 for Arezzo.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Arezzo

No regular with a goal involvement yet.

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 37 of 100 matches, not the full season.