Serie B · Matchweek 17
Virtus Entella
VIR
Arezzo
ARE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Virtus Entella57%
Draw24%
Arezzo19%
Expected goals
1.86 – 1.03
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–010.9%
- 1–110.7%
- 2–19.9%
- 2–09.5%
- 0–06.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Virtus Entella will have the ball; Arezzo will not mind.
54%Possession43%
41%Territory33%
12%From set plays29%
0.10Chance quality0.07
6.2%Directness9.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Virtus Entella, 3 for Arezzo. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Virtus Entella
Arezzo
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 40 matches, not the full season.