Serie B · Matchweek 17
Cremonese
CRE
Carrarese
CAR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Cremonese35%
Draw28%
Carrarese37%
Expected goals
1.34 – 1.37
Over 2.5
50%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.4%
- 0–19.5%
- 1–09.2%
- 1–28.3%
- 2–18.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Carrarese will have the ball; Cremonese will not mind.
43%Possession56%
42%Territory35%
28%From set plays15%
0.14Chance quality0.12
5.8%Directness5.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Cremonese, 4 for Carrarese.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 37 of 100 matches, not the full season.