Serie B · Matchweek 17
Cremonese
CRE
Carrarese
CAR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Cremonese38%
Draw27%
Carrarese34%
Expected goals
1.43 – 1.35
Over 2.5
52%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.2%
- 1–09.3%
- 0–18.7%
- 2–18.5%
- 1–27.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Cremonese will have the ball; Carrarese will not mind.
54%Possession34%
42%Territory38%
13%From set plays43%
0.12Chance quality0.08
4.8%Directness4.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Cremonese, 3 for Carrarese. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 40 matches, not the full season.