Serie B · Matchweek 17
Avellino
AVE
Empoli
EMP
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Avellino51%
Draw26%
Empoli23%
Expected goals
1.61 – 1.02
Over 2.5
48%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–012.2%
- 1–111.9%
- 2–19.6%
- 2–09.1%
- 0–08.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Avellino will have the ball; Empoli will not mind.
57%Possession47%
38%Territory34%
32%From set plays34%
0.07Chance quality0.06
8.0%Directness5.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Avellino, 4 for Empoli.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 37 of 100 matches, not the full season.