Serie B · Matchweek 17
Avellino
AVE
Empoli
EMP
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Avellino41%
Draw29%
Empoli30%
Expected goals
1.34 – 1.14
Over 2.5
44%
Both to score
51%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.9%
- 1–011.6%
- 0–19.7%
- 0–09.7%
- 2–18.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Empoli will have the ball; Avellino will not mind.
42%Possession52%
28%Territory32%
17%From set plays38%
0.12Chance quality0.07
6.7%Directness5.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Avellino, 3 for Empoli. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 40 matches, not the full season.