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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Serie B · Matchweek 16

Hellas Verona

HEL

Avellino

AVE

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Hellas Verona45%
Draw27%
Avellino29%

Expected goals

1.56 – 1.22

Over 2.5

52%

Both to score

57%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.0%
  • 1–010.2%
  • 2–19.2%
  • 0–17.7%
  • 0–07.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Hellas Verona will have the ball; Avellino will not mind.

63%Possession42%
50%Territory28%
16%From set plays17%
0.15Chance quality0.12
4.5%Directness6.7%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Hellas Verona, 3 for Avellino. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 40 matches, not the full season.