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Serie B · Matchweek 16

Hellas Verona

HEL

Avellino

AVE

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Hellas Verona38%
Draw28%
Avellino34%

Expected goals

1.36 – 1.28

Over 2.5

48%

Both to score

55%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.6%
  • 1–010.1%
  • 0–19.4%
  • 2–18.4%
  • 0–08.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Avellino will have the ball; Hellas Verona will not mind.

47%Possession57%
43%Territory38%
21%From set plays32%
0.09Chance quality0.07
5.5%Directness8.0%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Hellas Verona, 4 for Avellino.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 37 of 100 matches, not the full season.