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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Serie B · Matchweek 16

Sampdoria

SAM

Modena

MOD

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Sampdoria25%
Draw31%
Modena45%

Expected goals

0.89 – 1.27

Over 2.5

37%

Both to score

44%

Fair handicap

0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 0–115.0%
  • 1–113.1%
  • 0–012.8%
  • 1–010.0%
  • 0–28.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Modena will have the ball; Sampdoria will not mind.

38%Possession59%
36%Territory39%
26%From set plays22%
0.08Chance quality0.10
8.3%Directness5.7%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Sampdoria, 4 for Modena.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 37 of 100 matches, not the full season.