Serie B · Matchweek 16
Palermo
PAL
Cremonese
CRE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Palermo63%
Draw21%
Cremonese16%
Expected goals
2.10 – 1.01
Over 2.5
59%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–010.0%
- 2–110.0%
- 2–09.9%
- 1–19.4%
- 3–17.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
52%Possession54%
37%Territory42%
26%From set plays13%
0.10Chance quality0.12
4.0%Directness4.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Palermo, 3 for Cremonese. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 40 matches, not the full season.