Serie B · Matchweek 16
Palermo
PAL
Cremonese
CRE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Palermo62%
Draw21%
Cremonese17%
Expected goals
2.20 – 1.13
Over 2.5
64%
Both to score
61%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 2–19.8%
- 1–19.0%
- 2–08.8%
- 1–08.5%
- 3–17.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
45%Possession43%
31%Territory42%
14%From set plays28%
0.12Chance quality0.14
4.7%Directness5.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Palermo, 4 for Cremonese.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 37 of 100 matches, not the full season.