Serie B · Matchweek 16
LR Vicenza
LRV
Mantova
MAN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
LR Vicenza33%
Draw27%
Mantova41%
Expected goals
1.36 – 1.52
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.8%
- 0–19.0%
- 1–28.8%
- 1–07.9%
- 2–17.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
49%Possession44%
42%Territory33%
25%From set plays19%
0.09Chance quality0.10
8.2%Directness7.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for LR Vicenza, 3 for Mantova. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 40 matches, not the full season.