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Serie B · Matchweek 16

LR Vicenza

LRV

Mantova

MAN

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

LR Vicenza34%
Draw26%
Mantova40%

Expected goals

1.43 – 1.55

Over 2.5

56%

Both to score

61%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.5%
  • 1–28.6%
  • 0–18.3%
  • 2–17.9%
  • 1–07.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Mantova will have the ball; LR Vicenza will not mind.

48%Possession56%
37%Territory48%
63%From set plays24%
0.10Chance quality0.10
6.9%Directness5.9%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for LR Vicenza, 4 for Mantova.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 37 of 100 matches, not the full season.