Serie B · Matchweek 16
Empoli
EMP
Südtirol
SDT
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Empoli38%
Draw28%
Südtirol34%
Expected goals
1.38 – 1.30
Over 2.5
49%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.5%
- 1–09.8%
- 0–19.2%
- 2–18.4%
- 0–08.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Südtirol will have the ball; Empoli will not mind.
47%Possession57%
34%Territory29%
34%From set plays23%
0.06Chance quality0.10
5.3%Directness5.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Empoli, 4 for Südtirol.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 37 of 100 matches, not the full season.