Serie B · Matchweek 16
Catanzaro
CAT
Virtus Entella
VIR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Catanzaro33%
Draw27%
Virtus Entella39%
Expected goals
1.31 – 1.44
Over 2.5
51%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.2%
- 0–19.6%
- 1–28.6%
- 1–08.6%
- 2–17.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Virtus Entella get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
48%Possession49%
35%Territory36%
27%From set plays49%
0.09Chance quality0.07
5.2%Directness7.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Catanzaro, 4 for Virtus Entella.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 37 of 100 matches, not the full season.