Serie B · Matchweek 16
Carrarese
CAR
Pisa
PIS
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Carrarese45%
Draw26%
Pisa29%
Expected goals
1.62 – 1.27
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.6%
- 1–09.5%
- 2–19.3%
- 0–17.2%
- 1–27.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Pisa will have the ball; Carrarese will not mind.
34%Possession44%
38%Territory41%
43%From set plays24%
0.08Chance quality0.11
4.2%Directness3.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Carrarese, 3 for Pisa. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 40 matches, not the full season.