Serie B · Matchweek 16
Benevento
BEN
Padova
PAD
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Benevento57%
Draw24%
Padova19%
Expected goals
1.82 – 0.99
Over 2.5
53%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–011.5%
- 1–110.8%
- 2–19.9%
- 2–09.8%
- 0–06.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Benevento will have the ball; Padova will not mind.
56%Possession39%
41%Territory34%
25%From set plays18%
0.12Chance quality0.11
5.2%Directness5.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Benevento, 4 for Padova.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 37 of 100 matches, not the full season.