Serie B · Matchweek 16
Ascoli
ASC
Juve Stabia
JUV
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Ascoli39%
Draw28%
Juve Stabia32%
Expected goals
1.37 – 1.23
Over 2.5
47%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.7%
- 1–010.5%
- 0–19.3%
- 0–08.6%
- 2–18.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
64%Possession58%
49%Territory30%
23%From set plays21%
0.13Chance quality0.07
3.8%Directness3.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Ascoli, 3 for Juve Stabia. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 40 matches, not the full season.