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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Serie B · Matchweek 16

Ascoli

ASC

Juve Stabia

JUV

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Ascoli44%
Draw28%
Juve Stabia28%

Expected goals

1.43 – 1.11

Over 2.5

46%

Both to score

52%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.6%
  • 1–011.7%
  • 0–09.0%
  • 2–18.9%
  • 0–18.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Ascoli will have the ball; Juve Stabia will not mind.

66%Possession51%
42%Territory31%
43%From set plays36%
0.13Chance quality0.08
3.7%Directness3.0%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Ascoli, 4 for Juve Stabia.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 37 of 100 matches, not the full season.