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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Serie B · Matchweek 15

Hellas Verona

HEL

Palermo

PAL

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Hellas Verona32%
Draw26%
Palermo43%

Expected goals

1.39 – 1.63

Over 2.5

57%

Both to score

61%

Fair handicap

0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.3%
  • 1–28.9%
  • 0–18.4%
  • 2–17.5%
  • 1–07.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Hellas Verona will have the ball; Palermo will not mind.

63%Possession52%
50%Territory37%
16%From set plays26%
0.15Chance quality0.10
4.5%Directness4.0%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Hellas Verona, 3 for Palermo. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 40 matches, not the full season.