Serie B · Matchweek 15
Pisa
PIS
Sampdoria
SAM
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Pisa37%
Draw28%
Sampdoria35%
Expected goals
1.37 – 1.33
Over 2.5
50%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.4%
- 1–09.5%
- 0–19.2%
- 2–18.3%
- 1–28.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
44%Possession49%
41%Territory42%
24%From set plays27%
0.11Chance quality0.11
3.4%Directness4.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Pisa, 3 for Sampdoria. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 40 matches, not the full season.