Serie B · Matchweek 15
Pisa
PIS
Sampdoria
SAM
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Pisa48%
Draw27%
Sampdoria26%
Expected goals
1.56 – 1.10
Over 2.5
49%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.1%
- 1–011.3%
- 2–19.4%
- 2–08.1%
- 0–07.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Pisa will have the ball; Sampdoria will not mind.
58%Possession38%
40%Territory36%
20%From set plays26%
0.14Chance quality0.08
3.3%Directness8.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Pisa, 4 for Sampdoria.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 37 of 100 matches, not the full season.