Club Football Intelligence

Serie B · Matchweek 15

Sat, 5 Dec, 16:15 UTC

Padova

PAD

16:15 UTC

LR Vicenza

LRV

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Padova40%

Draw28%

LR Vicenza33%

Expected goals

1.42 – 1.28

Over 2.5

50%

Both to score

56%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

1–112.4%
1–09.9%
0–18.8%
2–18.6%
0–07.8%

How they playPossession, press, how they create

LR Vicenza will have the ball; Padova will not mind.

39%Possession48%

34%Territory37%

18%From set plays63%

0.11Chance quality0.10

5.7%Directness6.9%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Padova, 4 for LR Vicenza.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Padova

Alessandro CapelliMF1G 1A 0.85/90
Gabriele ArtisticoFW1G 1A 0.56/90
Giovanni GiuntiMF0G 1A 0.31/90

LR Vicenza

Nicola RautiFW1G 1A 0.90/90
Lorenzo CaferriMF1G 0A 0.39/90
Giulio PellizzariMF1G 0A 0.37/90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 37 of 100 matches, not the full season.