Serie B · Matchweek 15
Modena
MOD
Arezzo
ARE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Modena69%
Draw20%
Arezzo12%
Expected goals
2.12 – 0.79
Over 2.5
55%
Both to score
49%
Fair handicap
-1.25
Most likely scorelines
- 2–012.3%
- 1–012.1%
- 2–19.7%
- 1–19.0%
- 3–08.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Modena will have the ball; Arezzo will not mind.
54%Possession43%
49%Territory33%
21%From set plays29%
0.07Chance quality0.07
5.6%Directness9.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Modena, 3 for Arezzo. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Arezzo
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 40 matches, not the full season.