Serie B · Matchweek 15
Modena
MOD
Arezzo
ARE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Modena72%
Draw19%
Arezzo10%
Expected goals
2.16 – 0.69
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
44%
Fair handicap
-1.25
Most likely scorelines
- 2–013.6%
- 1–013.1%
- 3–09.4%
- 2–19.3%
- 1–18.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Modena will have the ball; Arezzo will not mind.
59%Possession40%
39%Territory34%
22%From set plays31%
0.10Chance quality0.12
5.7%Directness7.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Modena, 4 for Arezzo.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Arezzo
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 37 of 100 matches, not the full season.