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Serie B · Matchweek 15

Juve Stabia

JUV

Benevento

BEN

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Juve Stabia51%
Draw26%
Benevento22%

Expected goals

1.62 – 1.02

Over 2.5

48%

Both to score

52%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1012.1%
  • 1111.8%
  • 219.6%
  • 209.1%
  • 008.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Juve Stabia will have the ball; Benevento will not mind.

58%Possession45%
30%Territory32%
21%From set plays34%
0.07Chance quality0.06
3.7%Directness5.9%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Juve Stabia, 3 for Benevento. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 40 matches, not the full season.