Serie B · Matchweek 15
Juve Stabia
JUV
Benevento
BEN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Juve Stabia41%
Draw28%
Benevento31%
Expected goals
1.44 – 1.23
Over 2.5
49%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.4%
- 1–010.4%
- 2–18.8%
- 0–18.7%
- 0–08.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
51%Possession56%
31%Territory41%
36%From set plays25%
0.08Chance quality0.12
3.0%Directness5.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Juve Stabia, 4 for Benevento.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 37 of 100 matches, not the full season.