Skip to content
Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Serie B · Matchweek 15

Virtus Entella

VIR

Empoli

EMP

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Virtus Entella44%
Draw28%
Empoli28%

Expected goals

1.42 – 1.11

Over 2.5

46%

Both to score

52%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.7%
  • 1–011.7%
  • 0–09.1%
  • 2–18.9%
  • 0–18.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Empoli get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

54%Possession52%
41%Territory32%
12%From set plays38%
0.10Chance quality0.07
6.2%Directness5.5%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Virtus Entella, 3 for Empoli. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 40 matches, not the full season.