Serie B · Matchweek 15
Virtus Entella
VIR
Empoli
EMP
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Virtus Entella48%
Draw28%
Empoli23%
Expected goals
1.45 – 0.95
Over 2.5
43%
Both to score
48%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–013.6%
- 1–112.5%
- 0–010.2%
- 2–19.1%
- 2–09.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
49%Possession47%
36%Territory34%
49%From set plays34%
0.07Chance quality0.06
7.0%Directness5.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Virtus Entella, 4 for Empoli.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 37 of 100 matches, not the full season.