Serie B · Matchweek 15
Cremonese
CRE
Catanzaro
CAT
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Cremonese48%
Draw24%
Catanzaro28%
Expected goals
1.81 – 1.35
Over 2.5
60%
Both to score
63%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.6%
- 2–19.4%
- 1–08.3%
- 2–06.8%
- 1–26.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
43%Possession48%
42%Territory35%
28%From set plays27%
0.14Chance quality0.09
5.8%Directness5.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Cremonese, 4 for Catanzaro.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 37 of 100 matches, not the full season.