Serie B · Matchweek 15
Cesena
CES
Carrarese
CAR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Cesena49%
Draw26%
Carrarese25%
Expected goals
1.65 – 1.14
Over 2.5
52%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.6%
- 1–010.7%
- 2–19.6%
- 2–08.1%
- 0–07.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Cesena will have the ball; Carrarese will not mind.
49%Possession34%
31%Territory38%
26%From set plays43%
0.10Chance quality0.08
6.4%Directness4.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Cesena, 3 for Carrarese. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 40 matches, not the full season.