Serie B · Matchweek 15
Cesena
CES
Carrarese
CAR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Cesena44%
Draw26%
Carrarese29%
Expected goals
1.60 – 1.28
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.6%
- 1–09.4%
- 2–19.2%
- 0–17.3%
- 1–27.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Carrarese will have the ball; Cesena will not mind.
42%Possession56%
36%Territory35%
26%From set plays15%
0.09Chance quality0.12
5.3%Directness4.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Cesena, 4 for Carrarese.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 37 of 100 matches, not the full season.