Serie B · Matchweek 14
Sampdoria
SAM
Cremonese
CRE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Sampdoria41%
Draw30%
Cremonese29%
Expected goals
1.30 – 1.06
Over 2.5
42%
Both to score
49%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.1%
- 1–012.6%
- 0–010.7%
- 0–110.0%
- 2–18.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
38%Possession43%
36%Territory42%
26%From set plays28%
0.08Chance quality0.14
8.3%Directness5.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Sampdoria, 4 for Cremonese.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 37 of 100 matches, not the full season.