Serie B · Matchweek 14
Sampdoria
SAM
Cremonese
CRE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Sampdoria48%
Draw27%
Cremonese25%
Expected goals
1.57 – 1.09
Over 2.5
49%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.0%
- 1–011.5%
- 2–19.4%
- 2–08.3%
- 0–08.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
49%Possession54%
42%Territory42%
27%From set plays13%
0.11Chance quality0.12
4.4%Directness4.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Sampdoria, 3 for Cremonese. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 40 matches, not the full season.