Serie B · Matchweek 14
Palermo
PAL
Benevento
BEN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Palermo54%
Draw22%
Benevento24%
Expected goals
2.09 – 1.36
Over 2.5
66%
Both to score
66%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 2–19.5%
- 1–19.3%
- 1–07.2%
- 2–06.9%
- 3–16.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Benevento will have the ball; Palermo will not mind.
45%Possession56%
31%Territory41%
14%From set plays25%
0.12Chance quality0.12
4.7%Directness5.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Palermo, 4 for Benevento.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 37 of 100 matches, not the full season.