Serie B · Matchweek 14
Modena
MOD
Padova
PAD
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Modena64%
Draw23%
Padova13%
Expected goals
1.81 – 0.71
Over 2.5
46%
Both to score
43%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–015.0%
- 2–013.0%
- 1–110.2%
- 2–19.4%
- 0–08.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Modena will have the ball; Padova will not mind.
59%Possession39%
39%Territory34%
22%From set plays18%
0.10Chance quality0.11
5.7%Directness5.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Modena, 4 for Padova.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 37 of 100 matches, not the full season.