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Serie B · Matchweek 14

LR Vicenza

LRV

Cesena

CES

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

LR Vicenza31%
Draw26%
Cesena44%

Expected goals

1.38 – 1.65

Over 2.5

57%

Both to score

61%

Fair handicap

0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.2%
  • 1–29.0%
  • 0–18.5%
  • 2–17.4%
  • 1–06.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

LR Vicenza get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

48%Possession42%
37%Territory36%
63%From set plays26%
0.10Chance quality0.09
6.9%Directness5.3%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for LR Vicenza, 4 for Cesena.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 37 of 100 matches, not the full season.