Serie B · Matchweek 14
Empoli
EMP
Hellas Verona
HEL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Empoli36%
Draw28%
Hellas Verona36%
Expected goals
1.38 – 1.37
Over 2.5
51%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.3%
- 1–09.1%
- 0–19.1%
- 2–18.2%
- 1–28.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
47%Possession47%
34%Territory43%
34%From set plays21%
0.06Chance quality0.09
5.3%Directness5.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Empoli, 4 for Hellas Verona.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 37 of 100 matches, not the full season.