Serie B · Matchweek 14
Empoli
EMP
Hellas Verona
HEL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Empoli40%
Draw27%
Hellas Verona32%
Expected goals
1.46 – 1.30
Over 2.5
51%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.2%
- 1–09.7%
- 2–18.7%
- 0–18.5%
- 1–27.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Hellas Verona will have the ball; Empoli will not mind.
52%Possession63%
32%Territory50%
38%From set plays16%
0.07Chance quality0.15
5.5%Directness4.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Empoli, 3 for Hellas Verona. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 40 matches, not the full season.