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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Serie B · Matchweek 14

Catanzaro

CAT

Avellino

AVE

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Catanzaro33%
Draw26%
Avellino42%

Expected goals

1.40 – 1.60

Over 2.5

57%

Both to score

61%

Fair handicap

0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.4%
  • 1–28.8%
  • 0–18.4%
  • 2–17.6%
  • 1–07.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Avellino will have the ball; Catanzaro will not mind.

48%Possession57%
35%Territory38%
27%From set plays32%
0.09Chance quality0.07
5.2%Directness8.0%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Catanzaro, 4 for Avellino.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 37 of 100 matches, not the full season.