Serie B · Matchweek 14
Carrarese
CAR
Juve Stabia
JUV
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Carrarese40%
Draw28%
Juve Stabia31%
Expected goals
1.37 – 1.18
Over 2.5
46%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.8%
- 1–011.0%
- 0–19.4%
- 0–09.0%
- 2–18.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Juve Stabia get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
56%Possession51%
35%Territory31%
15%From set plays36%
0.12Chance quality0.08
5.0%Directness3.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Carrarese, 4 for Juve Stabia.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 37 of 100 matches, not the full season.