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Serie B · Matchweek 14

Carrarese

CAR

Juve Stabia

JUV

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Carrarese38%
Draw29%
Juve Stabia34%

Expected goals

1.31 – 1.23

Over 2.5

46%

Both to score

53%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1112.9%
  • 1010.7%
  • 019.9%
  • 009.2%
  • 218.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Juve Stabia will have the ball; Carrarese will not mind.

34%Possession58%
38%Territory30%
43%From set plays21%
0.08Chance quality0.07
4.2%Directness3.7%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Carrarese, 3 for Juve Stabia. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 40 matches, not the full season.