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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Serie B · Matchweek 14

Ascoli

ASC

Virtus Entella

VIR

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Ascoli39%
Draw28%
Virtus Entella33%

Expected goals

1.40 – 1.28

Over 2.5

49%

Both to score

56%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.4%
  • 1–09.9%
  • 0–19.0%
  • 2–18.5%
  • 0–08.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Ascoli will have the ball; Virtus Entella will not mind.

64%Possession54%
49%Territory41%
23%From set plays12%
0.13Chance quality0.10
3.8%Directness6.2%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Ascoli, 3 for Virtus Entella. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 40 matches, not the full season.