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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Serie B · Matchweek 14

Ascoli

ASC

Virtus Entella

VIR

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Ascoli46%
Draw29%
Virtus Entella26%

Expected goals

1.39 – 1.00

Over 2.5

42%

Both to score

49%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–013.1%
  • 1–112.8%
  • 0–010.3%
  • 0–19.0%
  • 2–18.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Ascoli will have the ball; Virtus Entella will not mind.

66%Possession49%
42%Territory36%
43%From set plays49%
0.13Chance quality0.07
3.7%Directness7.0%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Ascoli, 4 for Virtus Entella.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 37 of 100 matches, not the full season.