Serie B · Matchweek 14
Arezzo
ARE
Pisa
PIS
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Arezzo36%
Draw26%
Pisa38%
Expected goals
1.49 – 1.54
Over 2.5
57%
Both to score
62%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.3%
- 1–28.4%
- 2–18.1%
- 0–17.9%
- 1–07.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
43%Possession44%
33%Territory41%
29%From set plays24%
0.07Chance quality0.11
9.6%Directness3.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Arezzo, 3 for Pisa. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Arezzo
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 40 matches, not the full season.