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Serie B · Matchweek 13

Pisa

PIS

Modena

MOD

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Pisa24%
Draw26%
Modena50%

Expected goals

1.05 – 1.61

Over 2.5

49%

Both to score

53%

Fair handicap

0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1111.9%
  • 0111.8%
  • 129.6%
  • 028.7%
  • 007.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Modena will have the ball; Pisa will not mind.

44%Possession54%
41%Territory49%
24%From set plays21%
0.11Chance quality0.07
3.4%Directness5.6%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Pisa, 3 for Modena. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 40 matches, not the full season.