Serie B · Matchweek 13
Pisa
PIS
Modena
MOD
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Pisa30%
Draw27%
Modena42%
Expected goals
1.22 – 1.47
Over 2.5
50%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.3%
- 0–110.4%
- 1–28.9%
- 1–08.4%
- 0–07.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
58%Possession59%
40%Territory39%
20%From set plays22%
0.14Chance quality0.10
3.3%Directness5.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Pisa, 4 for Modena.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 37 of 100 matches, not the full season.