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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Serie B · Matchweek 13

Palermo

PAL

Südtirol

SDT

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Palermo62%
Draw21%
Südtirol18%

Expected goals

2.20 – 1.15

Over 2.5

64%

Both to score

61%

Fair handicap

-1.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–19.8%
  • 1–19.0%
  • 2–08.6%
  • 1–08.3%
  • 3–17.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Südtirol will have the ball; Palermo will not mind.

45%Possession57%
31%Territory29%
14%From set plays23%
0.12Chance quality0.10
4.7%Directness5.1%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Palermo, 4 for Südtirol.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 37 of 100 matches, not the full season.