Serie B · Matchweek 13
Mantova
MAN
Arezzo
ARE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Mantova62%
Draw22%
Arezzo17%
Expected goals
2.02 – 0.98
Over 2.5
57%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–010.6%
- 2–010.1%
- 2–110.0%
- 1–19.8%
- 3–16.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Mantova will have the ball; Arezzo will not mind.
56%Possession40%
48%Territory34%
24%From set plays31%
0.10Chance quality0.12
5.9%Directness7.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Mantova, 4 for Arezzo.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Mantova
Arezzo
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 37 of 100 matches, not the full season.