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Serie B · Matchweek 13

LR Vicenza

LRV

Carrarese

CAR

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

LR Vicenza37%
Draw27%
Carrarese36%

Expected goals

1.43 – 1.39

Over 2.5

53%

Both to score

58%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1112.0%
  • 108.9%
  • 018.6%
  • 218.3%
  • 128.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

LR Vicenza will have the ball; Carrarese will not mind.

49%Possession34%
42%Territory38%
25%From set plays43%
0.09Chance quality0.08
8.2%Directness4.2%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for LR Vicenza, 3 for Carrarese. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 40 matches, not the full season.