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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Serie B · Matchweek 13

LR Vicenza

LRV

Carrarese

CAR

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

LR Vicenza32%
Draw26%
Carrarese41%

Expected goals

1.36 – 1.56

Over 2.5

55%

Both to score

60%

Fair handicap

0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.7%
  • 0–18.9%
  • 1–28.8%
  • 1–07.6%
  • 2–17.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Carrarese will have the ball; LR Vicenza will not mind.

48%Possession56%
37%Territory35%
63%From set plays15%
0.10Chance quality0.12
6.9%Directness4.9%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for LR Vicenza, 4 for Carrarese.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 37 of 100 matches, not the full season.