Serie B · Matchweek 13
Juve Stabia
JUV
Catanzaro
CAT
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Juve Stabia39%
Draw28%
Catanzaro33%
Expected goals
1.40 – 1.27
Over 2.5
49%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.5%
- 1–010.1%
- 0–19.0%
- 2–18.5%
- 0–08.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
58%Possession59%
30%Territory46%
21%From set plays6%
0.07Chance quality0.08
3.7%Directness4.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Juve Stabia, 3 for Catanzaro. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Catanzaro
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 40 matches, not the full season.