Serie B · Matchweek 13
Juve Stabia
JUV
Catanzaro
CAT
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Juve Stabia56%
Draw23%
Catanzaro21%
Expected goals
1.91 – 1.13
Over 2.5
57%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.4%
- 2–19.9%
- 1–09.8%
- 2–08.6%
- 3–16.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
51%Possession48%
31%Territory35%
36%From set plays27%
0.08Chance quality0.09
3.0%Directness5.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Juve Stabia, 4 for Catanzaro.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 37 of 100 matches, not the full season.