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Serie B · Matchweek 13

Virtus Entella

VIR

Hellas Verona

HEL

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Virtus Entella43%
Draw29%
Hellas Verona28%

Expected goals

1.36 – 1.07

Over 2.5

43%

Both to score

50%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.9%
  • 1–012.3%
  • 0–010.0%
  • 0–19.4%
  • 2–18.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Virtus Entella get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

49%Possession47%
36%Territory43%
49%From set plays21%
0.07Chance quality0.09
7.0%Directness5.4%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Virtus Entella, 4 for Hellas Verona.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 37 of 100 matches, not the full season.