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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Serie B · Matchweek 13

Virtus Entella

VIR

Hellas Verona

HEL

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Virtus Entella43%
Draw27%
Hellas Verona30%

Expected goals

1.54 – 1.27

Over 2.5

53%

Both to score

58%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.9%
  • 1–09.7%
  • 2–19.0%
  • 0–17.8%
  • 1–27.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Hellas Verona will have the ball; Virtus Entella will not mind.

54%Possession63%
41%Territory50%
12%From set plays16%
0.10Chance quality0.15
6.2%Directness4.5%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Virtus Entella, 3 for Hellas Verona. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 40 matches, not the full season.