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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Serie B · Matchweek 13

Cremonese

CRE

Avellino

AVE

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Cremonese35%
Draw29%
Avellino36%

Expected goals

1.26 – 1.28

Over 2.5

46%

Both to score

53%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.9%
  • 0–110.3%
  • 1–010.2%
  • 0–09.1%
  • 1–28.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Avellino will have the ball; Cremonese will not mind.

43%Possession57%
42%Territory38%
28%From set plays32%
0.14Chance quality0.07
5.8%Directness8.0%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Cremonese, 4 for Avellino.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 37 of 100 matches, not the full season.