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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Serie B · Matchweek 13

Cremonese

CRE

Avellino

AVE

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Cremonese36%
Draw28%
Avellino35%

Expected goals

1.34 – 1.32

Over 2.5

49%

Both to score

55%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.6%
  • 1–09.7%
  • 0–19.5%
  • 0–08.2%
  • 2–18.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Cremonese will have the ball; Avellino will not mind.

54%Possession42%
42%Territory28%
13%From set plays17%
0.12Chance quality0.12
4.8%Directness6.7%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Cremonese, 3 for Avellino. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 40 matches, not the full season.