Serie B · Matchweek 13
Cesena
CES
Ascoli
ASC
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Cesena40%
Draw27%
Ascoli33%
Expected goals
1.50 – 1.35
Over 2.5
53%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.9%
- 1–09.1%
- 2–18.7%
- 0–18.1%
- 1–27.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Ascoli will have the ball; Cesena will not mind.
42%Possession66%
36%Territory42%
26%From set plays43%
0.09Chance quality0.13
5.3%Directness3.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Cesena, 4 for Ascoli.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 37 of 100 matches, not the full season.