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Serie B · Matchweek 13

Benevento

BEN

Empoli

EMP

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Benevento55%
Draw24%
Empoli21%

Expected goals

1.84 – 1.10

Over 2.5

55%

Both to score

57%

Fair handicap

-0.75

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.8%
  • 1–010.3%
  • 2–19.9%
  • 2–08.8%
  • 0–06.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Benevento will have the ball; Empoli will not mind.

56%Possession47%
41%Territory34%
25%From set plays34%
0.12Chance quality0.06
5.2%Directness5.3%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Benevento, 4 for Empoli.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 37 of 100 matches, not the full season.