Serie B · Matchweek 13
Benevento
BEN
Empoli
EMP
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Benevento34%
Draw28%
Empoli38%
Expected goals
1.27 – 1.34
Over 2.5
48%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.7%
- 0–110.2%
- 1–09.5%
- 0–08.5%
- 1–28.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
45%Possession52%
32%Territory32%
34%From set plays38%
0.06Chance quality0.07
5.9%Directness5.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Benevento, 3 for Empoli. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 40 matches, not the full season.