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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Serie B · Matchweek 12

Hellas Verona

HEL

Cesena

CES

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Hellas Verona40%
Draw26%
Cesena34%

Expected goals

1.53 – 1.40

Over 2.5

55%

Both to score

60%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.7%
  • 2–18.7%
  • 1–08.6%
  • 1–27.8%
  • 0–17.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Hellas Verona will have the ball; Cesena will not mind.

63%Possession49%
50%Territory31%
16%From set plays26%
0.15Chance quality0.10
4.5%Directness6.4%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Hellas Verona, 3 for Cesena. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 40 matches, not the full season.