Serie B · Matchweek 12
Hellas Verona
HEL
Cesena
CES
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Hellas Verona37%
Draw27%
Cesena36%
Expected goals
1.47 – 1.44
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.8%
- 1–08.4%
- 2–18.3%
- 0–18.2%
- 1–28.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
47%Possession42%
43%Territory36%
21%From set plays26%
0.09Chance quality0.09
5.5%Directness5.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Hellas Verona, 4 for Cesena.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 37 of 100 matches, not the full season.