Serie B · Matchweek 12
Südtirol
SDT
Cremonese
CRE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Südtirol43%
Draw27%
Cremonese30%
Expected goals
1.47 – 1.21
Over 2.5
49%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.3%
- 1–010.5%
- 2–18.9%
- 0–18.4%
- 0–07.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Südtirol will have the ball; Cremonese will not mind.
57%Possession43%
29%Territory42%
23%From set plays28%
0.10Chance quality0.14
5.1%Directness5.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Südtirol, 4 for Cremonese.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 37 of 100 matches, not the full season.