Serie B · Matchweek 12
Sampdoria
SAM
Benevento
BEN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Sampdoria34%
Draw29%
Benevento37%
Expected goals
1.23 – 1.28
Over 2.5
45%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.9%
- 0–110.7%
- 1–010.2%
- 0–09.4%
- 1–28.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Benevento will have the ball; Sampdoria will not mind.
38%Possession56%
36%Territory41%
26%From set plays25%
0.08Chance quality0.12
8.3%Directness5.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Sampdoria, 4 for Benevento.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 37 of 100 matches, not the full season.