Serie B · Matchweek 12
Empoli
EMP
Pisa
PIS
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Empoli47%
Draw26%
Pisa27%
Expected goals
1.59 – 1.18
Over 2.5
52%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.9%
- 1–010.5%
- 2–19.4%
- 2–07.6%
- 0–17.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Empoli will have the ball; Pisa will not mind.
52%Possession44%
32%Territory41%
38%From set plays24%
0.07Chance quality0.11
5.5%Directness3.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Empoli, 3 for Pisa. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 40 matches, not the full season.