Serie B · Matchweek 12
Catanzaro
CAT
Palermo
PAL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Catanzaro34%
Draw26%
Palermo40%
Expected goals
1.43 – 1.54
Over 2.5
56%
Both to score
61%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.5%
- 1–28.6%
- 0–18.3%
- 2–17.9%
- 1–07.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Palermo get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
59%Possession52%
46%Territory37%
6%From set plays26%
0.08Chance quality0.10
4.2%Directness4.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Catanzaro, 3 for Palermo. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Catanzaro
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 40 matches, not the full season.