Serie B · Matchweek 12
Carrarese
CAR
Virtus Entella
VIR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Carrarese37%
Draw28%
Virtus Entella34%
Expected goals
1.34 – 1.28
Over 2.5
48%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.6%
- 1–010.1%
- 0–19.6%
- 0–08.5%
- 2–18.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Virtus Entella will have the ball; Carrarese will not mind.
34%Possession54%
38%Territory41%
43%From set plays12%
0.08Chance quality0.10
4.2%Directness6.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Carrarese, 3 for Virtus Entella. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 40 matches, not the full season.