Serie B · Matchweek 12
Carrarese
CAR
Virtus Entella
VIR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Carrarese42%
Draw29%
Virtus Entella29%
Expected goals
1.33 – 1.07
Over 2.5
43%
Both to score
50%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.0%
- 1–012.4%
- 0–010.3%
- 0–19.7%
- 2–18.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Virtus Entella get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
56%Possession49%
35%Territory36%
15%From set plays49%
0.12Chance quality0.07
5.0%Directness7.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Carrarese, 4 for Virtus Entella.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 37 of 100 matches, not the full season.