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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Serie B · Matchweek 12

Ascoli

ASC

LR Vicenza

LRV

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Ascoli58%
Draw23%
LR Vicenza19%

Expected goals

1.95 – 1.06

Over 2.5

57%

Both to score

57%

Fair handicap

-0.75

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.2%
  • 1–010.2%
  • 2–110.0%
  • 2–09.3%
  • 3–16.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Ascoli will have the ball; LR Vicenza will not mind.

66%Possession48%
42%Territory37%
43%From set plays63%
0.13Chance quality0.10
3.7%Directness6.9%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Ascoli, 4 for LR Vicenza.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 37 of 100 matches, not the full season.